论文标题
购买可再生能力和负载预测的强大生成发货
Robust Generation Dispatch with Purchase of Renewable Power and Load Predictions
论文作者
论文摘要
越来越多的可再生能源(RES)和响应载荷的使用使电源系统更加不确定。同时,由于开发了高级计量和预测技术,现在可以实现Ress和Load所有者的预测。许多最近的研究表明,汇集Ress和负载的预测可以帮助操作员更准确地预测,并做出更好的调度决策。但是,在调度过程中如何做出预测购买决定需要进一步调查。本文考虑了从Ress和Loads购买和使用预测,提出了一种新颖的强大生成调度模型,从而填补了研究空白。预测购买决策是在第一阶段做出的,这会影响Ress和Load的预测准确性,进一步不确定性集和最差的案例第二阶段调度性能。对于决策依赖性不确定性(DDU),这两个阶段的过程本质上是一个强大的优化问题。开发了基于映射的列和约束生成(C&CG)算法,以克服传统解决方案方法在检测可行性,确保收敛并达到DDU下达到最佳策略的潜在故障。案例研究证明了所提出的模型和算法的有效性,必要性和可扩展性。
The increasing use of renewable energy sources (RESs) and responsive loads has made power systems more uncertain. Meanwhile, thanks to the development of advanced metering and forecasting technologies, predictions by RESs and load owners are now attainable. Many recent studies have revealed that pooling the predictions from RESs and loads can help the operators predict more accurately and make better dispatch decisions. However, how the prediction purchase decisions are made during the dispatch processes needs further investigation. This paper fills the research gap by proposing a novel robust generation dispatch model considering the purchase and use of predictions from RESs and loads. The prediction purchase decisions are made in the first stage, which influence the accuracy of predictions from RESs and loads, and further the uncertainty set and the worst-case second-stage dispatch performance. This two-stage procedure is essentially a robust optimization problem with decision-dependent uncertainty (DDU). A mapping-based column-and-constraint generation (C&CG) algorithm is developed to overcome the potential failures of traditional solution methods in detecting feasibility, guaranteeing convergence, and reaching optimal strategies under DDU. Case studies demonstrate the effectiveness, necessity, and scalability of the proposed model and algorithm.