论文标题

政策评估的差异差异

Difference-in-Differences for Policy Evaluation

论文作者

Callaway, Brantly

论文摘要

差异差异是经济学经验工作中最常用的识别策略之一。本章回顾了许多与差异差异有关的最新进展。首先,本章回顾了最近的工作,指出了两种方式固定效应回归的局限性(这些是面板数据回归,这些回归是实施在经验相关的环境中出现的主要方法的主要方法),在经验相关的环境中存在两个以上时间段,治疗时间跨单位和治疗效应效应的差异。其次,本章审查了最近提出的替代方法,这些方法能够规避这些问题,而无需实施更加复杂。第三,本章涵盖了这些结果的许多扩展,特别关注(i)仅在观察到的协变量条件下才能存在的(ii)(ii)在差异趋势差异趋势中识别出平行趋势假设的情况下的因果效应参数的策略,这些假设只有在观察到的协变量和(ii)策略中存在。

Difference-in-differences is one of the most used identification strategies in empirical work in economics. This chapter reviews a number of important, recent developments related to difference-in-differences. First, this chapter reviews recent work pointing out limitations of two way fixed effects regressions (these are panel data regressions that have been the dominant approach to implementing difference-in-differences identification strategies) that arise in empirically relevant settings where there are more than two time periods, variation in treatment timing across units, and treatment effect heterogeneity. Second, this chapter reviews recently proposed alternative approaches that are able to circumvent these issues without being substantially more complicated to implement. Third, this chapter covers a number of extensions to these results, paying particular attention to (i) parallel trends assumptions that hold only after conditioning on observed covariates and (ii) strategies to partially identify causal effect parameters in difference-in-differences applications in cases where the parallel trends assumption may be violated.

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