论文标题

部分可观测时空混沌系统的无模型预测

A Simple Non-Stationary Mean Ergodic Theorem, with Bonus Weak Law of Large Numbers

论文作者

Shalizi, Cosma Rohilla

论文摘要

此简短的教学笔记将$ l_2 $的融合和概率(非平均时间序列的时间平均值)的简单定理重新提供为期望值的平均值。基本条件是,协方差的总和随时间序列的长度而逐渐增长。我没有声称原创性;结果是广泛但不均匀的,在应用概率的使用者中传播了一些民俗。本注的目的只是使该分布均匀。

This brief pedagogical note re-proves a simple theorem on the convergence, in $L_2$ and in probability, of time averages of non-stationary time series to the mean of expectation values. The basic condition is that the sum of covariances grows sub-quadratically with the length of the time series. I make no claim to originality; the result is widely, but unevenly, spread bit of folklore among users of applied probability. The goal of this note is merely to even out that distribution.

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