论文标题
在交流趋势下的社会意见形成和决策
Social Opinion Formation and Decision Making Under Communication Trends
论文作者
论文摘要
这项工作研究了部分和随机信息共享下的社交网络的学习过程。在传统的社会学习模型中,代理人在试图推断自然的真实状态的同时,彼此交流了完整的信念信息。我们研究了代理商仅共享仅一个假设的信息的情况,即,在每次迭代时都可以随机改变这一假设。我们表明,即使代理人不讨论真正的假设,也可以以与传统的社会学习相媲美的速度。我们还表明,将自己的信念作为估计邻居不传播信念的先验,可能会产生舆论集群,以防止学习充满信心。这种现象发生在始终在始终交换与真理相对应的单个假设时。但是,这种做法避免了在任何信息交换程序下完全拒绝真理的情况 - 如果先验是统一的,可能会发生这种情况。
This work studies the learning process over social networks under partial and random information sharing. In traditional social learning models, agents exchange full belief information with each other while trying to infer the true state of nature. We study the case where agents share information about only one hypothesis, namely, the trending topic, which can be randomly changing at every iteration. We show that agents can learn the true hypothesis even if they do not discuss it, at rates comparable to traditional social learning. We also show that using one's own belief as a prior for estimating the neighbors' non-transmitted beliefs might create opinion clusters that prevent learning with full confidence. This phenomenon occurs when a single hypothesis corresponding to the truth is exchanged exclusively during all times. Such a practice, however, avoids the complete rejection of the truth under any information exchange procedure -- something that could happen if priors were uniform.