论文标题
FEDREP:朝着零售能源提供商的水平联合负载预测
FedREP: Towards Horizontal Federated Load Forecasting for Retail Energy Providers
论文作者
论文摘要
随着智能电表正在将家庭能源消耗数据收集和传输到零售能源提供商(REP),主要挑战是确保在确保数据隐私的同时有效使用细粒度的消费者数据。在本手稿中,我们应对能源负荷消耗预测的挑战,这对于能源需求管理,负载转换和基础设施开发至关重要。具体而言,我们注意到现有的能源负载预测是集中式的,这是不可扩展的,最重要的是容易受到数据隐私威胁的影响。此外,销售代表是个人市场参与者,有责任确保自己的客户的隐私。为了解决这个问题,我们提出了一个新型的水平隐私保护联合学习框架,用于销售能源负载预测,即FEFREP。我们考虑一个由控制中心和多个零售商组成的联合学习系统,通过启用多个代表来构建一个常见的,可靠的机器学习模型而不共享数据,从而解决了关键问题,例如数据隐私,数据安全性和可扩展性。为了进行预测,我们使用最先进的长期记忆(LSTM)神经网络,因为它可以通过时间序列数据学习长期观察序列和更高准确性的承诺,同时解决消失的梯度问题。最后,我们使用真实的能源消耗数据集进行了广泛的数据驱动实验。实验结果表明,我们提出的联合学习框架可以在0.3至0.4之间实现足够的性能,并且与集中式方法相对相似,同时保留隐私和提高可扩展性。
As Smart Meters are collecting and transmitting household energy consumption data to Retail Energy Providers (REP), the main challenge is to ensure the effective use of fine-grained consumer data while ensuring data privacy. In this manuscript, we tackle this challenge for energy load consumption forecasting in regards to REPs which is essential to energy demand management, load switching and infrastructure development. Specifically, we note that existing energy load forecasting is centralized, which are not scalable and most importantly, vulnerable to data privacy threats. Besides, REPs are individual market participants and liable to ensure the privacy of their own customers. To address this issue, we propose a novel horizontal privacy-preserving federated learning framework for REPs energy load forecasting, namely FedREP. We consider a federated learning system consisting of a control centre and multiple retailers by enabling multiple REPs to build a common, robust machine learning model without sharing data, thus addressing critical issues such as data privacy, data security and scalability. For forecasting, we use a state-of-the-art Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) neural network due to its ability to learn long term sequences of observations and promises of higher accuracy with time-series data while solving the vanishing gradient problem. Finally, we conduct extensive data-driven experiments using a real energy consumption dataset. Experimental results demonstrate that our proposed federated learning framework can achieve sufficient performance in terms of MSE ranging between 0.3 to 0.4 and is relatively similar to that of a centralized approach while preserving privacy and improving scalability.