论文标题
使用MANN KENDALL趋势测试和SENS估计值的气象参数,对流圈折射率,对流率折射率,对流折射率的趋势分析和现场强度变化
Trend Analysis of Meteorological Parameters, Tropospheric Refractivity, Equivalent Potential Temperature for a Pseudoadiabatic Process and Field Strength Variability, Using Mann Kendall Trend Test and Sens Estimate
论文作者
论文摘要
使用MANN-KENDALL趋势测试和Sens Slope估算器分析了气象学参数(温度,压力和相对湿度)以及计算的折射率,计算的折射率,伪绝热过程的等效势温度(EPT)以及尼日利亚南部Calabar的田间强度。气象参数的数据是从卡拉巴尔的尼日利亚气象局(NIMET)获得的14年(2005年至2018年)。 Results show that the maximum and average temperature, atmospheric pressure, refractivity, EPT and field strength all exhibited a positive Kendall Z value with 2.52, 0.33, 3.83, 0.77, 0.44 and 3.18 respectively which indicated an increasing trend over time, with only maximum temperature, atmospheric pressure and field strength showing a significant increase at 5% (0.05) level of significance, since their calculated p-values (0.012, 0.0001, and 0.001)小于0.05。相对湿度和最低环境温度随时间的趋势降低,因为它们均为负Z值负(分别为-0.11和-1.09),但是,由于其计算出的P值均超过0.05。线性回归,相关性和部分分化表明,相对湿度对季节性折射率的变化以及与野外强度变化的间接关系的影响最大。 EPT与折射率之间的关系已被发现非常牢固和积极。描述性统计数据已用于描绘所有参数的季节性和年度趋势。
Trend analysis of meteorological parameters (temperature, pressure, and relative humidity) as well as calculated refractivity, equivalent potential temperature (EPT) for a pseudo-adiabatic process, and field strength in Calabar, Southern Nigeria has been analyzed using Mann-Kendall trend test and Sens slope estimator. Data of the meteorological parameters were obtained from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) in Calabar for 14 years (2005 - 2018). Results show that the maximum and average temperature, atmospheric pressure, refractivity, EPT and field strength all exhibited a positive Kendall Z value with 2.52, 0.33, 3.83, 0.77, 0.44 and 3.18 respectively which indicated an increasing trend over time, with only maximum temperature, atmospheric pressure and field strength showing a significant increase at 5% (0.05) level of significance, since their calculated p-values (0.012, 0.0001, and 0.001) were less than 0.05. The relative humidity and minimum ambient temperature showed a decrease in trend over time as they both had a negative Kendall Z values (-0.11 and -1.09 respectively), however, together with the average ambient temperature and refractivity, their trend was not significant 5% level of significance since their calculated p-values were all more than 0.05. Linear regression, correlation and partial differentiation showed that relative humidity has the most effect on the changes in seasonal refractivity and an indirect relationship with field strength variability. The relationship between EPT and refractivity has been discovered to be very strong and positive. Descriptive statistics has been used to portray the seasonal and annual trend of all parameters.