论文标题

高斯的贝叶斯因素

The Gauss' Bayes Factor

论文作者

D'Agostini, Giulio

论文摘要

在“理论上的Motus con coelestium conicis conicis solem Ambientum”高斯(Gauss)作为定理和重点的呈现的规则中,鉴于观察到的事件可能归因于其中任何一个。尽管他专注于同样可能的假设,但为了解决他感兴趣的问题,可以很容易地将定理扩展到一般情况下。但是,奇怪的是,我无法找到他在文献中的结果。

In 'Theoria motus corporum coelestium in sectionibus conicis solem ambientum' Gauss presents, as a theorem and with emphasis, the rule to update the ratio of probabilities of complementary hypotheses, in the light of an observed event which could be due to either of them. Although he focused on a priori equally probable hypotheses, in order to solve the problem on which he was interested in, the theorem can be easily extended to the general case. But, curiously, I have not been able to find references to his result in the literature.

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