论文标题
超预订对预审风险评估工具的影响
The impact of overbooking on a pre-trial risk assessment tool
论文作者
论文摘要
预审风险评估工具用于向法官提出有关被捕者的适当审判前监督条件的建议。越来越多的人担心这些模型是否合理运行，包括对模型的投入因素是否是对犯罪活动的公平措施的担忧。在本文中，我们评估了预订指控的影响，这些费用不会导致对流行风险评估工具（Arnold公共安全评估）的定罪。使用来自加利福尼亚州旧金山工具的飞行员运行的数据，我们发现预订指控不会导致定罪（即被无罪释放或终止的费用）提高了建议在该工具评估的案件中，建议的预先监督水平均增加了。
Pre-trial risk assessment tools are used to make recommendations to judges about appropriate conditions of pre-trial supervision for people who have been arrested. Increasingly, there is concern about whether these models are operating fairly, including concerns about whether the models' input factors are fair measures of one's criminal activity. In this paper, we assess the impact of booking charges that do not result in a conviction on a popular risk assessment tool, the Arnold Public Safety Assessment. Using data from a pilot run of the tool in San Francisco, CA, we find that booking charges that do not result in a conviction (i.e. charges that are dropped or end in an acquittal) increased the recommended level of pre-trial supervision in around 27% of cases evaluated by the tool
